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NYC: April 7, 2025 at 7:25 AM

Syria’s watershed moment: What comes after Assad’s fall?

The fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime marks a turning point in Syria’s history. As rebels celebrate in Damascus, questions arise about governance, regional stability, and the role of global powers in shaping Syria’s future.
Exiled Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. Photo credit: En.kremlin.ru

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Damascus, Syria – The fall of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s regime marks a seismic shift in the country’s history, ending over five decades of his family’s rule. Rebels swept into Damascus in a dramatic offensive, declaring the capital “liberated” on state television as jubilant Syrians flooded the streets to celebrate. Yet, as the dust begins to settle, questions loom about the nation’s future, its stability, and the role of external players in shaping what comes next.

Celebrations and concerns

In iconic locations such as Damascus’ Umayyad Square, gunfire echoed not in conflict, but in celebration. People cheered and waved opposition flags, expressing hope for a new era. Yet behind the jubilance lies the uncertainty of transition. The rebel coalition, led by the Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, must now navigate governance in a nation fractured by over a decade of war.

“This is a victory for the people of Syria,” declared rebel leader Abu Mohammed al-Jawlani. But analysts warn that the road ahead is fraught with challenges, including potential infighting among factions and the risk of renewed extremism.

Regional reactions highlight geopolitical Stakes

Neighboring countries and global powers reacted swiftly to the developments, underscoring the far-reaching implications of Assad’s ousting.

  • Iraq urged non-interference, calling for an inclusive dialogue to respect Syria’s sovereignty while warning that foreign meddling could deepen divisions.
  • Israel seized the opportunity to position itself strategically, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ordering military control of the buffer zone in the Golan Heights to counter potential threats from Hezbollah or other armed groups.
  • Turkey emphasized the need to prevent terrorist organizations from exploiting the power vacuum, advocating for an inclusive transition.

Other international actors, including the Taliban and the European Union, offered sharply contrasting visions for Syria’s future. While the Taliban congratulated rebels and called for an Islamic government, EU leaders stressed the importance of a diverse, representative governance structure.

Where is Assad?

As celebrations unfolded, Assad’s whereabouts became the subject of intense speculation. Reports suggested that he fled Damascus before rebels overran the capital. Observers tracked suspicious flights leaving Syria, but confirmation of his destination remains elusive.

Assad’s departure, if permanent, closes a chapter characterized by authoritarianism, devastating conflict, and humanitarian crises. His regime’s collapse symbolizes the waning influence of backers like Russia and Iran, whose roles in shaping Syria’s post-Assad trajectory are likely to remain significant.

what now?

The fall of Assad’s regime is undeniably historic, but Syria faces monumental hurdles. The absence of a clear roadmap for governance raises fears of chaos, similar to post-Gaddafi Libya. A power vacuum could allow extremist groups to gain traction, destabilizing the region further.

International organizations and governments have called for a peaceful and inclusive transition. However, the task of rebuilding a war-torn nation with deep societal divides and shattered infrastructure is daunting.

For Syrians, the end of Assad’s rule offers hope but also profound uncertainty. The next steps will determine whether this moment is a turning point toward unity and recovery or the beginning of a new, unpredictable phase in Syria’s troubled history.

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